First Round of Oscar Predictions for 2018-19 Season | One of Us

First Round of Oscar Predictions for 2018-19 Season

0 Submitted by on Fri, 05 October 2018, 13:53

Oscar season is afoot once again and I, Justin Zarian, am back to offer my thoughts on what will make the cut for each category when January rolls around (except for the short film categories because those are impossible to predict this early). Who are the heavy hitters this year? Well, I didn’t do too bad predicting this last year so let’s give it another shot. Here are my first impressions on who could end up on the shortlists (I will update as eligible contenders and category placements are confirmed or narrowed down).

Best Picture

My Current Picks (if there are ten)

  • Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  • The Favourite
  • First Man
  • Green Book
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Leave No Trace
  • Roma
  • A Star Is Born
  • Vice
  • Widows

Runners-Up

  • At Eternity’s Gate
  • Beautiful Boy
  • BlacKkKlansman
  • Eighth Grade
  • The Mule

Dark Horses

  • 22 July
  • The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
  • Black Panther
  • Crazy Rich Asians
  • Bohemian Rhapsody

 

Best Director

My Current Picks

  • Damien Chazelle for First Man
  • Bradley Cooper for A Star Is Born
  • Alfonso Curaon for Roma
  • Barry Jenkins for If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Yorgos Lanthimos for The Favourite

Runners-Up

  • Debra Granik for Leave No Trace
  • Marielle Heller for Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  • Spike Lee for BlacKkKlansman
  • Adam McKay for Vice
  • Steve McQueen for Widows

Dark Horses

  • Ryan Coogler for Black Panther
  • Clint Eastwood for The Mule
  • Peter Farrelly for Green Book
  • Paul Greengrass for 22 July
  • Pawel Pawlikowski for Cold War

 

Best Actor

My Current Picks

  • Christian Bale for Vice
  • Bradley Cooper for A Star Is Born
  • Willem Dafoe for At Eternity’s Gate
  • Viggo Mortensen for Green Book
  • Rami Malek for Bohemian Rhapsody

Runners-Up

  • Steve Carrell for Beautiful Boy
  • Ryan Gosling for First Man
  • Ethan Hawke for First Reformed
  • Lucas Hedges for Boy Erased
  • Robert Redford for The Old Man and the Gun

Dark Horses

  • Clint Eastwood for The Mule
  • Ben Foster for Leave No Trace
  • Hugh Jackman for The Frontrunner
  • John C. Reiley for Stan and Ollie (or The Sisters Brothers)
  • John David Washington for BlacKkKlansman

 

Best Actress

My Current Picks

  • Glenn Close for The Wife
  • Toni Colette for Hereditary
  • Olivia Colman for The Favourite
  • Lady Gaga for A Star Is Born
  • Melissa McCarthy for Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Runners-Up

  • Yalitza Aparicio for Roma
  • Viola Davis for Widows
  • Felicity Jones for On the Basis of Sex
  • Kiki Layne for If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Saoirse Ronan for Mary Queen of Scots

Dark Horses

  • Emily Blunt for Mary Poppins Returns
  • Nicole Kidman for Destroyer
  • Keira Knightley for Colette
  • Rosamund Pike for A Private War
  • Julia Roberts for Ben is Back

 

Best Supporting Actor

My Current Picks

  • Mahershala Ali for Green Book
  • Timothee Chalamet for Beautiful Boy
  • Sam Elliot for A Star Is Born
  • Richard E. Grant for Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  • Sam Rockwell for Vice

Runners-Up

  • Steve Carell for Vice
  • Adam Driver for BlacKkKlansman
  • Michael B. Jordan for Black Panther
  • Stephan James for If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Daniel Kaluuya for Widows

Dark Horses

  • Russell Crowe for Boy Erased
  • Hugh Grant for Paddington 2
  • Armie Hammer for On the Basis of Sex
  • Brian Tyree Henry for If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Dominic West for Colette

 

Best Supporting Actress

My Current Picks

  • Amy Adams for Vice
  • Claire Foy for First Man
  • Regina King for If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Emma Stone for The Favourite
  • Michelle Yeoh for Crazy Rich Asians

Runners-Up

  • Marina de Tavira for Roma
  • Nicole Kidman for Boy Erased
  • Margot Robbie for Mary Queen of Scots
  • Sissy Spacek for The Old Man and the Gun
  • Rachel Weitz for The Favourite

Dark Horses

  • Linda Cardellini for Green Book
  • Elizabeth Debicki for Widows
  • Thomasin McKenzie for Leave No Trace
  • Natalie Portman for Vox Lux
  • Maura Tierney for Beautiful Boy

 

Best Original Screenplay

My Current Picks

  • Eighth Grade
  • The Favourite
  • Green Book
  • Roma
  • Vice

Runners-Up

  • The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
  • At Eternity’s Gate
  • First Reformed
  • A Quiet Place
  • Stan and Ollie

Dark Horses

  • Hereditary
  • Mid90’s
  • Private Life
  • The Rider
  • Sorry to Bother You

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

My Current Picks

  • BlacKkKlansman
  • Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  • First Man
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • A Star Is Born

Runners-Up

  • Beautiful Boy
  • Boy Erased
  • Leave No Trace
  • The Old Man and the Gun
  • Widows

Dark Horses

  • Crazy Rich Asians
  • The Death of Stalin
  • Mary Queen of Scots
  • The Mule
  • Wildlife

 

Best Cinematography

My Current Picks

  • The Favourite
  • First Man
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Roma
  • A Star Is Born

Runners-Up

  • At Eternity’s Gate
  • The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
  • Cold War
  • Hereditary
  • The Sisters Brothers

Dark Horses

  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • A Quiet Place
  • Suspiria
  • Vice
  • Widows

 

Best Production Design

My Current Picks

  • The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
  • Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
  • The Favourite
  • First Man
  • Mary Poppins Returns

Runners-Up

  • Black Panther
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Mary Queen of Scots
  • The Nutcracker and the Four Realms

Dark Horses

  • At Eternity’s Gate
  • BlacKkKlansman
  • Ready Player One
  • A Star is Born
  • Suspiria

 

Best Costume Design

My Current Picks

  • Black Panther
  • Colette
  • The Favourite
  • Mary Poppins Returns
  • Mary Queen of Scots

Runners-Up

  • Crazy Rich Asians
  • Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
  • Green Book
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • The Nutcracker and the Four Realms

Dark Horses

  • The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
  • BlacKkKlansman
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • First Man
  • A Star Is Born

 

Best Film Editing

My Current Picks

  • First Man
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Roma
  • A Star Is Born
  • Vice

Runners-Up

  • 22 July
  • BlacKkKlansman
  • The Favourite
  • Green Book
  • The Sisters Brothers

Dark Horses

  • Black Panther
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  • At Eternity’s Gate
  • A Quiet Place

 

Best Sound Mixing

My Current Picks

  • Avengers: Infinity War
  • Black Panther
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • First Man
  • A Star Is Born

Runners-Up

  • Bumblebee
  • The Incredibles 2
  • Mary Poppins Returns
  • Mission: Impossible – Fallout
  • Solo: A Star Wars Story

Dark Horses

  • Aquaman
  • Ready Player One
  • Roma
  • Sicario 2: Day of the Soldado
  • Widows

 

Best Sound Editing

My Current Picks

  • Black Panther
  • First Man
  • Mission: Impossible – Fallout
  • A Quiet Place
  • A Star Is Born

Runners-Up

  • 12 Strong
  • Annihilation
  • Avengers: Infinity War
  • The Incredibles 2
  • Ready Player One

Dark Horses

  • Aquaman
  • Bumblebee
  • Roma
  • Solo: A Star Wars Story
  • Widows

 

Best Visual Effects

My Current Picks

  • Annihilation
  • Avengers: Infinity War
  • Bumblebee
  • First Man
  • Mary Poppins Returns

Runners-Up

  • Ant-Man and the Wasp
  • Black Panther
  • Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
  • Ready Player One
  • Solo: A Star Wars Story

Dark Horses

  • Aquaman
  • Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
  • The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
  • Rampage
  • Welcome to Marwen

 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

My Current Picks

  • Black Panther
  • Mary Queen of Scots
  • Vice

Runners-Up

  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
  • Stan and Ollie

Dark Horses

  • Border
  • The Favourite
  • Mary Poppins Returns

 

Best Original Score

My Current Picks

  • BlacKkKlansman
  • First Man
  • Hereditary
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Mary Poppins Returns

Runners-Up

  • Black Panther
  • Green Book
  • Colette
  • Mary Queen of Scots
  • The Sisters Brothers

Dark Horses

  • Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  • The Incredibles 2
  • Isle of Dogs
  • Suspiria
  • Vice

 

Best Original Song

My Current Picks

  • Deadpool 2 (“Ashes”)
  • Free Solo (“Gravity”)
  • Mary Poppins Returns (TBD)
  • A Star Is Born (“I’ll Never Love Again”)
  • A Star Is Born (“Shallow”)

Runners-Up

  • Black Panther (“All the Stars”)
  • Green Book (“Pray”)
  • Hearts Beat Loud (“Hearts Beat Loud”)
  • A Star Is Born (“Maybe It’s Time”)
  • Widows (“The Big Unknown”)

Dark Horses

  • Boy Erased (“Revelations”)
  • Love, Simon (“Alfie’s Song (Not So Typical Love Song)”)
  • Mary Poppins Returns (TBD)
  • Smallfoot (“Wonderful Life”)
  • A Star IS Born (“Is That Alright?”)

 

Best Animated Feature

My Current Picks

  • The Incredibles 2
  • Isle of Dogs
  • Mirai
  • Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2
  • Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Runners-Up

  • Early Man
  • The Grinch
  • Lu Over the Wall
  • Smallfoot
  • Teen Titans Go! To The Movies

Dark Horses

  • Fireworks
  • Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation
  • Next Gen
  • Sherlock Gnomes
  • Tito and the Birds

 

Best Foreign Language Film

My Current Picks

  • Capharnaum
  • Cold War
  • Roma
  • Shoplifters
  • Sunset

Runners-Up

  • Border
  • Burning
  • The Guilty
  • I Am Not a Witch
  • Never Look Away

Dark Horses

  • Birds of Passage
  • The Cakemaker
  • Girl
  • The Heiresses
  • I Do Not Care If We Go Down In History As Barbarians

 

Best Documentary Feature

My Current Picks

  • Free Solo
  • Love Gilda
  • RBG
  • Three Identical Strangers
  • Won’t You Be My Neighbor?

Runners-Up

  • Fahrenheit 11/9
  • Jane Fonda in Five Acts
  • The King
  • Minding the Gap
  • Quincy

Dark Horses

  • The Biggest Little Farm
  • Hal
  • Monrovia, Indiana
  • McQueen
  • On Her Shoulders

 

All Short Film Categories

To Be Determined

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